Twin Cities Foreclosures Hit 4+ Year Low

In recent months a common phrase has been uttered by countless buyers and real estate agents: “where are all the foreclosures?”  Since August 2010 the Twin Cities Region has seen foreclosures for sale drop 52% from approximately 4000 to about 1900 today.  This is the first time since July 2007 that we have seen inventory this low.

 Twin Cities Homes for Sale

Based on data available as of December 2, 2011.  All data from Regional Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.

Traditional Seller inventory is at 7+ year lows and even short sales are declining in numbers too.  Many sellers that take their home off the market this time of year may want to reconsider – with less competition today than we’ve seen in many years the buyers have far fewer choices available.

I hear stories in my office every day from agents that are in multiple offers on a foreclosure with their buyer and in many cases they are selling over asking price.

While this does not signal an end to the foreclosure crisis, it is another positive indicator of our market coming back into balance and that in and of itself is a huge win.

Minnesota Foreclosures in Q3 2011 Down 32% from Q3 2010

This just in from HousingLink:

There were 4,935 foreclosures in Minnesota in Q3 of 2011, down 32% from Q3 2010. Q3 2011 marks four consecutive quarters with fewer than 6,000 statewide foreclosures.  While this follows four quarters in which the statewide count exceeded that number, the Q3 2011 figure of 4,935 still far exceeds the 1,618 foreclosures averaged in 2005, the first year sheriff sale records were totaled for the state of Minnesota.

Below is a chart from their very detailed report:

While this in no way means we are out of the foreclosure mess, it is another sign that foreclosure activity continues to run well below the peaks of 2010.  Fewer sheriff sales today means fewer bank owned (REO) homes for sale 6-9 months from now.  Don’t get too optimistic though as the Minnesota Home Ownership Center’s data shows that pre-foreclosure activity did tick up in the most recent quarter.

Townhome & Condo Foreclosures Affect Other Unit Owners

The Star Tribune has a piece titled: Whistleblower: Homeowners pick up the tab. The Strib just scratches the surface of this issue.

When someone buys into a townhome or condo development, they are becoming part owner of a nonprofit corporation that has ownership of common elements in the development and responsibilities for maintenance, insurance, utilities, etc for these common elements.

When one of the shareholders (homeowners) stops paying their mortgage, they typically stop paying the association dues as well.  When the bank comes along and forecloses on the property, in most cases in Minnesota the delinquent association dues are wiped out.  Those dues are now lost forever and can total $1000′s on each unit that is foreclosed.

What’s happening today is that many condominium and townhouse developments are seeing substantial foreclosure rates of 10% to 20% or even higher.  This has a huge impact on the association’s financial health as it hurts both the operating fund for daily costs but also the reserve fund that protects for future repairs/replacements.

The Board of Directors and their management company, if any, have a duty to run the association appropriately and in the face of these huge losses, associations are often using a combination of service cuts, association fee increases and special assessments.  After all, the association can’t just go bankrupt and walk away… it needs to function for the benefit of all of the shareholder owners.  What is done to keep it functioning and how severely it is done is very dependent on the size of the association, the foreclosure rate, the financial health of the association in the past, and the decisions made by the Board.

Most homeowners rarely if ever attend association meetings – in some associations it is very difficult to get even half the homeowners to the annual meeting and a handful to the meetings the rest of the year.  Typically homeowners don’t worry about their association until a decision is made that affects them and then they get interested real quick.  The problem is that by the time you have a problem, the decisions that were made affecting the problem are all in the past.  The time to affect the outcomes of your association is before and during the issues… not after!

Townhouses and condos are still great living arrangements for people looking for less maintenance than a single family home – just keep in mind that unless you are active in your association, you may be in for an unexpected and unwelcome surprise.

1700+ Short Sales Stuck Waiting for Bank Approval

Short Sales By The Numbers:

5,000

We have just under 5000 short sales currently for sale in the Minneapolis/St. Paul area.

1,700

In the Twin Cities, we now have more than 1,700 short sales that have received offers and are waiting for the seller’s lender(s) to provide a response, 100′s more than we had a year ago.  By the way, this means that 1700+ buyers are tied up waiting for properties they may or may not ever get to buy.

35%

Percent of short sale properties for sale that are currently stuck in Lender Approval Limbo that can run anywhere from a few weeks (rarely) to many months (typical).

5.4

Number of months of short sale approval backlog when considering that over the last 12 months we’re only averaging 322 closed short sales each month.

Commentary

The number of total homes we have tied up waiting for lender approval is probably very close to 2000 when taking into account other MLS statuses and minutia too complex to discuss here.  We are years into this housing downturn and while banks seem to have figured out foreclosure sales and can process those pretty smoothly, they are nowhere close to having short sales down.  Considering a large percent of the failed short sales end up as foreclosures, quickly and properly addressing short sales could literally cut 12+ months off of our foreclosure activity.

Banks: get your stuff together and help us (agents/buyers/short sellers) help you.



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TwinCitiesRealEstateBlog.com is not a Multiple Listing Service MLS, nor does it offer MLS access.
This website is a service of Aaron Dickinson of Edina Realty, a broker Participant of the Regional Multiple Listing Service of Minnesota, Inc.