Twin Cities Home Buyers Forget to Take a Holiday

What are normally the coldest weeks in the real estate market are this year much warmer than normal, just like our weather.  We’ve seen huge year-over-year increases in Pending Sales for months now but the weeks ending 12/17 and 12/24 saw 48% more accepted purchase agreements than a year ago.  Those are numbers you just can’t ignore.  If/when the temperature drops will we see less buyer activity?  Time will soon tell… if buyer activity does fall then some of this can be chalked up to just the weather.  If it does not, this signals what could be a fundamental increase in buyer demand moving forward.

Twin Cities Foreclosures Hit 4+ Year Low

In recent months a common phrase has been uttered by countless buyers and real estate agents: “where are all the foreclosures?”  Since August 2010 the Twin Cities Region has seen foreclosures for sale drop 52% from approximately 4000 to about 1900 today.  This is the first time since July 2007 that we have seen inventory this low.

 Twin Cities Homes for Sale

Based on data available as of December 2, 2011.  All data from Regional Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.

Traditional Seller inventory is at 7+ year lows and even short sales are declining in numbers too.  Many sellers that take their home off the market this time of year may want to reconsider – with less competition today than we’ve seen in many years the buyers have far fewer choices available.

I hear stories in my office every day from agents that are in multiple offers on a foreclosure with their buyer and in many cases they are selling over asking price.

While this does not signal an end to the foreclosure crisis, it is another positive indicator of our market coming back into balance and that in and of itself is a huge win.

Pricing Your Home Right for Today’s Market

The housing market is full of a mix of Foreclosures, Short Sales and Traditional Sellers.  Traditional Sellers today have fewer foreclosures, short sales and other traditional sellers to compete with than last year but the competition is still heavy since we still have far more home inventory than we have buyers for it.

A while back I did a market analysis for a potential seller and while their current competition’s prices were all above $200k, all the sales of comparable properties were well below $200k.  What’s worse is that most of the homes that did sell only sold after 200 to 300+ days on the market.  The pattern was very consistent!

I showed this to the sellers and explained to them that while their active competition may suggest a higher list price, a list price below the competition will mean that prospective buyers are far more likely to negotiate with them rather than the others for sale.

At the end of the day, they did list below $200k and saw good showing activity and open house traffic and accepted an offer in just a couple weeks on the market.  The seller saved literally months on the market and were negotiating from a place of strength (short market time, good interest, good feedback) versus a weak position that you find yourself in when a home has been on the market for several different seasons.

Some sellers still believe that they cannot “give away” the house at the price the market indicates so they list the home higher in hopes that the “right buyer” will come along and give them their price.  Well unless the home is extremely unique or extremely coveted this strategy consistently fails.

The market price is what the market price is – in this market there are still a lot of sellers on the market that can’t or won’t sell at the market price, but that number seems to continue to diminish as more sellers come to grips with the realities of what is still a difficult housing market.

Missed Showing = Missed Sale

Two of my clients this year have bought houses that were difficult to see.  The first client was refused only the 1st time.  The second was refused the first two times!  In both cases the buyers had enough interest to try again but I can tell you that often isn’t the case.  I would say about 50% of the time we don’t come back for a 2nd chance.

Sellers – It can be tough to be ready for every showing but know that it only takes one to sell the house!



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TwinCitiesRealEstateBlog.com is not a Multiple Listing Service MLS, nor does it offer MLS access.
This website is a service of Aaron Dickinson of Edina Realty, a broker Participant of the Regional Multiple Listing Service of Minnesota, Inc.