Twin Cities Cash Home Purchases At Record-Breaking Levels

The Twin Cities continues to see spectacular demand from cash home buyers this year and is on track to make 2011 the biggest year ever for cash home purchases.  Since the 1st of this year, fully 1 in 4 home sales recorded by the RMLS of MN have been cash sales – 3600+ and counting so far this year!

Cash buyers are often investors, but not all of them are.  Some investors are buying to turn homes into rentals, which in this market is a growing need, while other investors are buying these homes and then fixing them up to resell them.  While technically it is “flipping” – today most flips consist of substantial improvements to the home to bring it up to livable and modern standards.  The investor gets a great return on their investment and the subsequent home buyer gets a house that is move-in ready and can be financed with conventional or FHA financing, which means a low down payment requirement.

A few slides to help you visualize the activity:

Cash Buyers Nearly 30% of All February Twin Cities Home Sales

February 2011 saw a new record for the percentage of homes sold to cash buyers: a whopping 28.3% of all homes that closed in the month were purchased with cash.  Further, it also represents the largest number of units sold to cash buyers for the month of February: 624 homes sold in February 2011 to cash buyers, versus 514 homes during the same time last year and 438 in February 2009.

While some people complain about cash buyers (the majority are investors buying for rental or rehab & resale) competing with owner-occupant buyers using financing, the truth of the matter is that we’d be in a world of hurt without those cash buyers since housing supply would be far higher and would put even more pressure on prices.

The fact that so many cash buyers are in the market right now I believe is a very positive sign: cash buyers are making a 100% bet with their money that house prices are stabilizing – if prices were to drop substantially they have no ability to “walk away” because all their money is tied up in the house!

The charts below all explain the same data, just in different presentations to try and give you better context.

 

“4-Up” Version for easy printing (click image for PDF):

1 in 4 Twin Cities Homes Bought With Cash in January

There a lot of data in this month’s housing numbers and I am still trying to digest it all.  One of the more notable items however is that 27% of all closed sales in January 2011 were paid for in cash.  Think about that for a minute: one out of every four homes was either bought by an investor or someone with deep pockets.  For comparison, cash buyers made up only 4% – 5% (1 in 20) of sales in 2006 and 2007 but had risen to 22% (1 in 5) of sales by the 2nd half of 2010.

Cash buyers are often able to negotiatiate better prices on homes than financed offers since closings can occur sooner and there are no issues with financing approval or appraisal.  This is especially true with bank owned homes since many banks will take a cash deal for less money versus a financed offer that could be for thousands more – they are looking for “surety of sale” and a quick close.

The good news is that these cash buyers are helping soak up our extra home inventory and their significant activity in this market suggests that the “smart money” people with deep pockets consider this housing market a good investment.

Twin Cities Home Sales Climb 10% !!!!

After six months of lower year-over-year pending sales numbers, the Twin Cities has finally posted an improvement in sales activity.  The week ending 12/4/10 saw 606 pending home sales versus 551 in the same period a year ago, which is an increase of 10% from the prior year’s figure.  Pending sales are properties that have accepted offers but have not yet closed.

You’ll notice that each week there’s been an improvement in year-over-year comparisons and that is partly due to the artificial demand we saw last year when the tax credit was originally set to expire.  This week’s sales increase is pretty good news in and of itself but what is even more interesting to me is that sales for the week ending 12/4 in 2010 looks to have been the strongest showing for that week since 2006!  While it isn’t a huge jump in sales in comparison to prior years, it is still a small improvement.  What is striking is how consistent the sales have been since the expiration of the tax credit:

Weekly Pending Sales

While the numbers are not huge, they have been consistent and that is reassuring – no matter the circumstances, a certain number of homes will be bought and sold and this leveling in demand says to me that we’ve found that fundamental level.  An early review I did of pending sales for the week ending 12/11/10 shows sales just about where they were the same week last year, which would make it the 2nd best week in comparison to the prior year since the tax credit expiration.

The housing market is far from recovered but at least it’s reassuring to see an occasional positive indicator like we did this week.

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This website is a service of Aaron Dickinson of Edina Realty, a broker Participant of the Regional Multiple Listing Service of Minnesota, Inc.