Changes in Maple Grove New Home Construction

Maple Grove is a great example of the dramatically changed new single family home construction market.  Just two years ago the typical new Maple Grove home was about $625,000 – today it is about $500,000 and still falling.  Maple Grove’s largesse peaked in 2007 when the 12-month rolling average median sales price hit $690,000!

While the cost for land and the material/labor cost of building homes have dropped, the house itself is also changing.  Consumers are building smaller and more economical homes than they were 2 and 3 years ago – the ultra-high-end finishes can still be found in some homes but many new construction are being built with more modest materials.  Opulence is out – functionality and affordability are in.

Don’t get me wrong, $500,000 is still a lot of money to spend on a new home but it’s far less than what was being spent just a few years ago!

What I found intriguing was that as the average house price has fallen, new construction home sales have risen!  As the price point has dropped the number of potential buyers able to afford those homes has increased!

This trend can be found throughout the region but there are few places that demonstrate the trend as clear as Maple Grove.

Take a look at the charts below or search for new construction Maple Grove homes for sale.

Maple Grove MN Home Sales – Median Sales Price
Rolling 12 Month Average

 


Maple Grove MN Home Sales - Median Sales Price
Rolling 12 Month Average – Plotted Monthly



Maple Grove MN Home Sales - Homes Sales
Rolling 12 Month Average – Plotted Monthly

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How Much Commission is Too Much?

Today I received an email from DR Horton offering 5% commission on select homes closing in the next 40 days:

What I’m wondering is at what point do commissions get so lucrative that it can severely influence an agent’s actions in representing their buyer?  Since discussing “usual” or “typical” commissions in a public forum can lead to antitrust issues, I won’t discuss numbers but I will say that 5% is above any buyer cooperative commission (buy-side only) that I’ve ever received.

For as long as I’ve been in the business (on my 8th year now!) I’ve heard grumblings of suspicion that some agents working with buyers put a bias towards listings that pay them higher commissions.  In many ways it makes sense – most agents are paid on commission only so selling a higher-priced listing or one with a higher payout does directly affect what they earn.  While it may make sense, steering a client based off of compensation reasons is unethical and violates Agency laws in Minnesota (and likely most other states too).  Needless to say, the influence is there and I have no doubt that some agents practice this, though I truly believe that most agents are true to their clients and don’t let a fatter commission check affect their representation of their client.

What concerns me here is that at some point the commission dollars get to be big enough that it becomes a much bigger enticement and therefore the chances of agent influence become higher.  Even if there is no true influence, the mere appearance of a conflict of interest becomes apparent.

On the flip side, this is a great marketing tool by DR Horton – they attract lots of interested agents to see if DR Horton has a house that fits their buyer’s needs since it would be a big fat payout for the agent.  DR Horton only has to pay that commission on closed sales that meet their rules, so a penney isn’t spent unless there is a result.  Also, since this is only for inventory/spec homes, what they’re doing is putting them on a kind of clearance sales so that they don’t have to keep paying the carrying costs for a vacant completed home.  Smart.

There are two sides to this – I’m curious on what anyone else may think about this.  Please comment!

Financing For Some Condos Becoming Very, Very, Very Difficult

The housing boom brought us a slew of new community developments including condos, townhomes and retail/condo buildings.  While financing on townhomes is still doable, financing options for condo & mixed-use buildings is becoming very difficult.  The developments with the hardest time getting financing are the ones that have had the highest rates of foreclosure.

So many condos built from 2005-2008 in the last boom were purchased either at the top of the price curve and/or were bought with challenged loans or borrowers.  This has meant some buildings having 50% (or maybe more) of their units go back to the bank.  When that happens you have underfunded associations with expenses well above income, small or non-existent reserves and prices spiraling down.

In single family homes, if there are foreclosures around yours you will see some effect on your value but often it can be partially mitigated by your property’s unique characteristics and condition.  Additionally, an appraiser can also search the rest of the neighborhood for comparables to yours. 

When you are in a condo building, most of your comparables are the others in your building.  When you have only a few floor plans in a building and units that are only a few years old, it is very hard to argue that there is a huge difference between your “traditional seller” owned home and a bank owned REO.  With each additional sale prices fall further and more and more owners become upside down on their mortgages, which may lead some to simply walk away from their mortgage and lead to even more foreclosures.

Often these buildings become almost impossible to finance.  For many of these buildings, cash is the only way to buy them.  With FHA eliminating spot approvals for condos and further tightening lending guidelines, more buildings are about to become cash-only financing.  If you look at the financial landscape of buyers, most are taking out a loan to purchase.  Without a financing option, the pool of potential buyers shrinks even more and we see prices further decline and investors swooping in to pick these units up on the cheap.

I have seen quite a few condos that could be financed with payments well below equivalent rents – meaning these units are DEALS.  Unfortunately even though they’re good deals now (some down 40% – 60% from their peak) if they can’t be financed they aren’t an option for the majority of buyers.

Once these buildings have gone through foreclosure and are owner-occupied again, budgets and the overall health of the association will likely improve dramatically.  But until we can secure financing for owner-occupant buyers, what are we to do?

Just-before-print update:  Fannie Mae Relaxes Condo Funding Rules in Florida

A Great Perspective on New Home Construction

CNBC has a great article on some new housing numbers that I think sums up what we’ve been seeing in the Twin Cities lately.  I believe the views by J.P. Morgan and Raymond James are both spot-on!

http://www.cnbc.com/id/32569620

It is nice to see a little renewed interest in new construction lately… I have seen several developments with 10+ houses under construction at once… something that isn’t very notable compared to 2002-2006 but quite interesting compared last year.  This surge in activity is very spotty though and is found mostly where builders or developers lowered their prices to get the completed home down to a competitive level.



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TwinCitiesRealEstateBlog.com is not a Multiple Listing Service MLS, nor does it offer MLS access.
This website is a service of Aaron Dickinson of Edina Realty, a broker Participant of the Regional Multiple Listing Service of Minnesota, Inc.