Fannie Mae Gets Smart, Adds Electronic Lock Boxes to Houses

Fannie Mae, the mortgage giant, will begin requiring electronic lock boxes on their listings. This means that showing agents will use these boxes instead of the current practice of push button lock boxes.

Some may ask, “so what?”  Foreclosure properties are occasionally mistreated by real estate agents – some will or let their buyers pull up carpet and move/destroy things you wouldn’t do in a normal house.  Others will show these homes without permission or go back many times without informing the agent, which is effectively breaking and entering (kinda a bid deal) and will result in an automatic $1000 fine by our MLS.  Sometimes the house is left unlocked or with a bunch of lights still on.  I have heard stories of a million other things that have happened that you’d never imagine in a “traditional listing.”

With electronic boxes, all accesses are logged and any issues with unauthorized entry or concerns about damage can be much more easily addressed when the agent and the seller know who were in the property and when.  Plus, now that agents know they can be held accountable, I would expect fewer issues in the future.

Here is Fannie Mae’s letter regarding the new policy.  Will more lenders smarten up in the coming months? I wouldn’t hold your breath but there’s always a chance!

Twin Cities 2011 Housing Market Prediction: Party Like It’s 2009

At this time last year the housing market was heating up as the first time home buyer tax credit was nearing its expiration.  Just as soon as that tax credit expired, the Twin Cities housing market went into the meat locker for the rest of the year.  Now that we’re finally past both the tax credit’s boost and its bust, what does 2011 hold for us?

One of the key housing metrics we look at is new Pending Home Sales.  These are homes for sale that have accepted offers and are on their way to closing.  Here are the last four years of pending sales activity:

It is easy to see how much of an outlier 2010 was!  We typically have a very bell-shaped activity curve with our strongest sales activity occurring in the late spring and summer months.

While weekly data is interesting, it is sometimes hard to get a good picture of the overall trend of the market and so below is a chart of the cumulative pending sales from the first of each year:

So far this year, pending home sales units are down only about 1% versus 2009 – not a bad showing!

While units are pretty close to 2009′s numbers, the dollar volume of those sales is down about 5% from 2009 because our sales prices are a little lower than they were that year:

While we are only through the first three months of the year, I believe we are far enough into it to get a feel for what we should expect this year.  Barring any dramatic changes in the economy or world politics, I believe 2011 is setting up to be fairly comparable to 2009 – not a bad showing for a housing market still burdened by so many issues.

 

Special thanks to David Arbit @ 10k Research and Marketing for pulling the raw numbers for me so I could analyze them and put together these charts.

Stupidly Slow Short Sales That Seldom Sell

Here we are, years into the housing crisis, and it seems like while banks have become pretty good at selling foreclosures they are still horrible at closing short sales.  On average, short sales a have substantially lower chance of closing than traditional or bank owned listings, which means a huge number of short sales fail and go back to the bank as foreclosures.  At the end of the day, short sales sell for far more money than they do as an equivalent foreclosure so each failed short sale means thousands or tens of thousands of dollars more value lost:

 

While both Traditional listings and Lender Owned listings have had a decrease in days on market, Short Sales continue to see increases in days on market, which means that the response time from lenders is not improving but likely worsening!!!

 

If we can get more short sales to close then we will see fewer foreclosures in the future and less pressure on housing prices across the entire market. A successful short sale cuts a good 6-12 months from the housing crisis but only if the lenders, servicers and mortgage insurance companies work together to accomplish this task together.

Richfield’s Vacant Building Registration Program

The City of Richfield is currently considering a lengthy and wide-reaching ordinance regarding vacant buildings – both residential and commercial.  This issue has come up in many cities recently but this proposed ordinance is one of the most aggressive ones I have seen.  Please read the proposed ordinance here.

Cities across the country today are dealing with large numbers of foreclosures and with that come problem properties for the cities to deal with – which costs time and money and also affects the surrounding neighborhood.  While Richfield’s desire to reduce/eliminate blight and to better manage costs for protection and code enforcement are admirable, this proposed ordinance goes well beyond what I believe necessary.

I wanted to point out a few areas of this ordinance that I thought are of particular note:

  1. Vacant properties do not mean abandoned properties
    There are many vacant properties in cities that are regularly checked and maintained by the owners or a caretaker – while these properties may not have an occupant, they are not dilapidated or unsecured.  This ordinance makes no distinction between properties that are well cared for an those that are not.
  2. Policing a vacant but maintained property should not bear any additional costs
    The City states in the cover letter to the ordinance that they are looking for the extra costs of monitoring vacant properties be assigned to the owners of those properties.  If a vacant property’s exterior is being maintained and the home is properly secured, then the City’s costs to “monitor” the property are no higher than with any other property in the city.  In many circumstances it is impossible to tell a properly maintained home is vacant.
  3. “Snow birds” are given special treatment
    If the concern is that vacant buildings are a source of crime and disrepair, why are snow birds and other extended vacationers given special treatment?  A vacant property is a vacant property, is it not?  Snow birds still have to register the property but are given a waiver from fees.
  4. Vacant homes become code compliance nightmares
    The ordinance would allow building officials to inspect any vacant building at will and look for any code violations on or in the property and enforce code compliance prior to re-occupancy – power they do not have on occupied properties, except at time of sale. (4A-6 Subd.7)
  5. Properties vacant for more than 365 days can be required to be demolished
    While the provision does note that compliance officials can override this rule if a compliance officer approves a property plan, this leaves a very broad opportunity for the city to demolish problem properties and could be a shortcut to normal demolition procedures? (4A-4 (b) (4))
  6. Significant power rests with compliance officials
    Many provisions of the ordinance allow decision discretion to be made by the compliance officials and such decisions therefore may be unequally determined in each case. (pg 4A-2, Subd. 4)
  7. Many unintended parties may be impacted by this ordinance
    * Relocating homeowners in process of selling their home (any property vacant for 30 days is affected)
    * Estate situations 
    * Military deployments
    * Temporary employment in another location
    * Vacationing residents unaware of the ordinance
    * Landlords that have a gap in renters of more than 1 month (common especially in commercial)
  8. The problems that this ordinance intends to address are largely short-term problems
    The huge influx in foreclosed homes these last few years has added significantly to the list of problem properties, but this influx appears to already be peaking and should wane in the coming years.  Consequently the broad and complex nature of this ordinance will have substantially diminished value in just a few years.
  9. Most of the underlying issues can be resolved by general property maintenance ordinances
    * Occupied houses can have severe blight
    * Just like “time of sale” inspections, this ordinance will only have power over a subset of properties so it isn’t a comprehensive attack on city blight.
    *  Exterior maintenance (yard, debris, building, secured doors) should be an area of focus for all homes, not just the vacant ones
    *  This is a very involved compliance process, which means significant resources will be spent on this – time better spent in locating and addressing problem properties through conventional means.
    * “Problem properties” could have escalating enforcement and fines/penalties without targeting the innocent and compliant owners

We all desire stable, safe and  appealing neighborhoods but views on the proper approach to achieve such goals will vary widely. An ordinance with such impact needs discussion amongst all the stakeholders (property owners, real estate agents, property managers, city staff, city council) and an opportunity for dialog and input by the public at large before this is enacted.  The City of Richfield should slow this process down to allow for these conversations to happen before taking any further action.

A second reading is scheduled for March 22, 2011 and after that second reading, the City Council may vote to approve the ordinance at that time or any date subsequent. If you are concerned about this ordinance, the time to act is NOW!



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This website is a service of Aaron Dickinson of Edina Realty, a broker Participant of the Regional Multiple Listing Service of Minnesota, Inc.