A reader of this blog asked a good question this weekend: what happens to sales when rates rise? This is an intriguing question. While I had my suspicions, I wasn't sure what I would find so I put together this little image from Twin Cities MN Pending Sales and the 10 Year Treasury Note. While the 10yr isn't a direct mortgage interest rate gauge, it correlates very closely. This chart is on a 5 year scale. (Pending home sales data from MAAR, click image to see larger picture) What we see from this chart … [Read more...]
4.5% Interest Rates Hurt Housing
In the last two weeks we've seen interest rates on 30 year fixed mortgages move from 4.5% to 5.5% (or higher) that's a big OUCH. This full interest rate point swing has meant that almost overnight, buyers lost well over 10% of their buying power. Another way to look at it is housing just got 10% more expensive. While everyone was thrilled to see 4.5% interest rates, myself included, from the very outset I had concern about what this means for housing long term. The short term benefits are large and … [Read more...]