Twin Cities Cash Home Purchases At Record-Breaking Levels

The Twin Cities continues to see spectacular demand from cash home buyers this year and is on track to make 2011 the biggest year ever for cash home purchases.  Since the 1st of this year, fully 1 in 4 home sales recorded by the RMLS of MN have been cash sales – 3600+ and counting so far this year!

Cash buyers are often investors, but not all of them are.  Some investors are buying to turn homes into rentals, which in this market is a growing need, while other investors are buying these homes and then fixing them up to resell them.  While technically it is “flipping” – today most flips consist of substantial improvements to the home to bring it up to livable and modern standards.  The investor gets a great return on their investment and the subsequent home buyer gets a house that is move-in ready and can be financed with conventional or FHA financing, which means a low down payment requirement.

A few slides to help you visualize the activity:

2 in 3 Bank Owned Homes Under $100k Sold to Cash Buyers

During the first 6 months of 2010, 63% of all the bank owned homes under $100,000 were purchased with cash.  Why is this?

  1. Banks LOVE cash
    Banks that have foreclosure inventory on their books want to sell those homes quickly and they want to be sure that if they accept an offer that the buyer will be able to close on the property. Cash offers can close quickly and also eliminate concerns about appraisals and the buyer’s lender approvals so the seller has higher confidence it will close.  All things being equal, banks will take a cash offer every time.  I have seen banks take offers 15% plus percent less simply because they were cash offers.
  2. Cheap foreclosed houses almost always have condition issues that make financing tough
    While the repairs may be straightforward to complete, lenders today are much less lenient on condition and many foreclosures are in such bad shape that they need to be purchased with “renovation financing” or straight out cash.  Renovation loans are more difficult and time consuming to get and also have higher finance charges.
  3. Many home buyers are scared of home repairs required
    Many buyers who would purchase with a loan do not go after houses at these prices because the work required to bring them up to standards is something they are afraid to take on as a project.
  4. Investors are very active in this market
    Property flipping has come back in vogue – though this time the increased home price on resale is due to the repairs the rehabbers made versus just time passing like it was in the boom years.  We also have investors who are buying homes for rental properties since many homes for sale will easily cash flow even after extensive repairs.

Twin Cities: 1 in 6 Homes Purchased With Cash in 1st Half of 2010

Based on data from NorthstarMLS, I was able to put together the following chart that shows how home buyers in the first 1/2 of 2010 were financing their purchases.  Fully 1 in every 6 buyers paid in cold hard cash, a huge increase from the 1 in 20 to 1 in 25 ratio more typical of this market.

While our MLS does not track the data necessary to confirm it, in my experience the vast majority of cash purchases are investors/rehabbers – I would put the number at 75% or higher.

Investors Competing with Home Buyers on Foreclosures

In the last 12 months I’ve had a few situations where my client’s offer on a foreclosure was rejected in favor of a cash offer.  In my office, I know of many others that have experienced the same thing.

With the data provided by RMLS that I used yesterday to comment about FHA transactions, I am also able to dig down deeper and look at the detail at the MLS-area level.  In Minneapolis-North, median sales prices have fallen from around $150,000 in 2006 to around $50,000 today – due almost entirely to the fact that this neighborhood has been one of the hardest hit by foreclosures.

A healthy ratio of rental to owner-occupied housing has long been advocated by the City of Minneapolis and in recent years they’ve made it clear (1,2) that they intend to do what they can to protect the housing stock.  Unfortunately the foreclosure activity is far higher than can be handled by any public or private entity.

While many foreclosures are in need of serious rehabilitation, prospective home buyers can take advantage of programs offered by the city and general rehab loans like the FHA 203(k) to finance the cost of needed repairs into the mortgage.  There are also a large number of foreclosures in generally ok shape and only need a few cosmetics to make them livable again.

Prospective home buyers of these foreclosures, the vast majority being first time buyers, see both good condition and fixer-upper foreclosures as an opportunity to purchase a home at prices not seen since at least the 1990′s.  Consider this a period where the market is providing an affordable housing explosion.  Unfortunately at these prices, these properties also become excellent investment opportunities for rentals, which creates competition with the prospective owner-occupant buyer.

These investors come in with cash offers and when presented with multiple offers where most terms are equal, many banks will take the speed and surety of the cash offer versus entrusting a successful sale to a buyer that needs financing to close.  In fact, cash can often mean double-digit percentage discounts on the list price vs. a financed offer.  These cash offers have succeeded so well in Minneapolis-North recently that while cash offers were only 5% of the transactions in 2005, they made up nearly 65% of the sales in 2009.

While many of these cash purchases may have been for owner-occupied purposes, it is impossible to quantify what percentage are investor vs. owner-occupant.  My experience and gut tell me that most of these cash sales were to investors.

Minneapolis-North is an exaggerated version of what we’re seeing all over the Twin Cities – I have heard stories of investor competition from agents around the metro and at price points up to around $250,000.  Metrowide, cash purchases in 2007 were only 5% of sales but zoomed 240% to 17% of sales two years later in 2009.  Having this strong demand has helped us dramatically reduce the inventory of foreclosures available today and has definitely provided support for the housing market, but this investor demand has also made it hard for many prospective buyers to take advantage of what may become an historic level housing affordability.

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This website is a service of Aaron Dickinson of Edina Realty, a broker Participant of the Regional Multiple Listing Service of Minnesota, Inc.