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A perspective on the Minneapolis/St. Paul housing market

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Twin Cities Housing Statistics

By: Aaron Dickinson - Edina Realty
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Friendly reminder to all, if you’re looking for statistics on the housing market in the Twin Cities, here is all you need:

Foreclosures and Short Sales in the Twin Cities (updated monthly – co-created by me!)
Twin Cities Housing Market Activity Report (updated weekly)
City-Level Housing Market Data (updated monthly)
Twin Cities Monthly Market Activity (updated monthly)
Twin Cities Housing Supply Outlook (updated monthly)
Residential Real Estate Activity Report (RREAR) (updated yearly)
‘The Skinny’ Blog (updated weekly or more)
‘The Skinny’ Stats Video (updated monthly)

All of these reports done by 10k Research and Marketing.

Mn/DOT Discussing 169/494 Interchange – Again

By: Aaron Dickinson - Edina Realty
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Mn/DOT is starting up discussion on a partial upgrade of the 169/494 Interchange – this plan includes upgrades to 6 of the 8 pathways of the interchange.  While the Federal Highway Administration wants all paths upgraded on any interstate upgrade nationwide, Mn/DOT claims they can save $30 – $40 million by doing only 6 of the 8 but still gaining 90% of the potential improvement to traffic/safety.  That money could do a lot of good in the rest of the metro…

There is an informational session coming up for those that are interested:
http://www.dot.state.mn.us/metro/projects/169/

Banks Suing Homeowners AFTER Foreclosure

By: Aaron Dickinson - Edina Realty
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In my job I often find that instead of trying to explain things myself it is better to simply cite the best resources out there already.  It’s not what you know, but who you know, right?

As is typical for them, the Minnesota Home Ownership Center has just put together a great post describing how sellers that lose their house through foreclosure (or even via short sale) can be sued by the lien holder (bank) after everything is done.

It comes down to this: if you are having troubles making your mortgage payments or are considering foreclosure or a short sale, you need to do some research and speak with an expert.  The sooner you reach out for assistance the more options you have available to you.

Minnesota Appliance Rebate Program Details Released – Up To $200 Back!

By: Aaron Dickinson - Edina Realty
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The Minnesota Department of Commerce’s Office of Energy Security (what a mouthful) has just released more information on their energy star appliance rebate program.

On March 1 @ 8am the website and a phone number will launch with a rebate reservation system – residents will have to pre-register for the rebate and receive a specific reservation code.  There are only approximately 24,500 rebates for the entire state so they are likely to go VERY FAST.

More info: http://www.mnappliancerebate.com/

Why Loan Modifications & Short Sales Are So Tough

By: Aaron Dickinson - Edina Realty
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Minnesota Home Ownership Center does a great job of helping struggling homeowners determine and exercise their options.  Their blog post yesterday introduced me to a short article from Public Citizen that explains a large part of our problems in negotiating loan mods and short sales.

100 Days Left to Take Advantage of Home Buyer Tax Credits

By: Aaron Dickinson - Edina Realty
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As part of its plan to stimulate the U.S. housing market and address the economic challenges facing our nation, Congress has passed new legislation that:

  • Extends the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit of up to $8,000 to first-time home buyers until April 30, 2010.
  • Expands the credit to grant up to $6,500 credit to current home owners purchasing a new or existing home between November 7, 2009 and April 30, 2010.

Here is more information about how the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit can help prospective home buyers become part of the American dream. If you have specific questions or need additional information, please contact a tax professional or the Internal Revenue Service at 800-829-1040.

Who Qualifies for the Extended Credit?

  • First-time home buyers who purchase homes between November 7, 2009 and April 30, 2010.
  • Current home owners purchasing a home between November 7, 2009 and April 30, 2010, who have used the home being sold or vacated as a principal residence for five consecutive years within the last eight.

To qualify as a “first-time home buyer” the purchaser or his/her spouse may not have owned a residence during the three years prior to the purchase.

If you purchased a home between January 1, 2009 and November 6, 2009, please see: 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit.

Which Properties Are Eligible?

The Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit may be applied to primary residences, including: single-family homes, condos, townhomes, and co-ops.

How Much Is Available?

The maximum allowable credit for first-time home buyers is $8,000.

The maximum allowable credit for current homeowners is $6,500.

How is a Buyer’s Credit Amount Determined?

Each home buyer’s tax credit is determined by two additional factors:

  1. The price of the home.
  2. The buyer’s income.

Price

Under the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit, credit may only be awarded on homes purchased for $800,000 or less.

Buyer Income

Under the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit, which is effective on November 7, 2009,  single buyers with incomes up to $125,000 and married couples with incomes up to $225,000—may receive the maximum tax credit.

These income limits have changed from the 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit limits. If you  purchased a home between January 1, 2009 and November 6, 2009, please see 2009 First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit.

If the Buyer(s)’ Income Exceeds These Limits, Can He/She Still Get a Credit?

Yes, some buyers may still be eligible for the credit.

The credit decreases for buyers who earn between $125,000 and $145,000 for single buyers and between $225,000 and $245,000 for home buyers filing jointly. The amount of the tax credit decreases as his/her income approaches the maximum limit. Home buyers earning more than the maximum qualifying income—over $145,000 for singles and over $245,000 for couples are not eligible for the credit.

Can a Buyer Still Qualify If He/She Closes After April 30, 2010?

Under the Extended Home Buyer Tax Credit, as long as a written binding contract to purchase is in effect on April 30, 2010, the purchaser will have until July 1, 2010 to close.

Will the Tax Credit Need to Be Repaid?

No. The buyer does not need to repay the tax credit, if he/she occupies the home for three years or more. However, if the property is sold during this three-year period, the full amount credit will be recouped on the sale.

Investors Competing with Home Buyers on Foreclosures

By: Aaron Dickinson - Edina Realty
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In the last 12 months I’ve had a few situations where my client’s offer on a foreclosure was rejected in favor of a cash offer.  In my office, I know of many others that have experienced the same thing.

With the data provided by RMLS that I used yesterday to comment about FHA transactions, I am also able to dig down deeper and look at the detail at the MLS-area level.  In Minneapolis-North, median sales prices have fallen from around $150,000 in 2006 to around $50,000 today – due almost entirely to the fact that this neighborhood has been one of the hardest hit by foreclosures.

A healthy ratio of rental to owner-occupied housing has long been advocated by the City of Minneapolis and in recent years they’ve made it clear (1,2) that they intend to do what they can to protect the housing stock.  Unfortunately the foreclosure activity is far higher than can be handled by any public or private entity.

While many foreclosures are in need of serious rehabilitation, prospective home buyers can take advantage of programs offered by the city and general rehab loans like the FHA 203(k) to finance the cost of needed repairs into the mortgage.  There are also a large number of foreclosures in generally ok shape and only need a few cosmetics to make them livable again.

Prospective home buyers of these foreclosures, the vast majority being first time buyers, see both good condition and fixer-upper foreclosures as an opportunity to purchase a home at prices not seen since at least the 1990’s.  Consider this a period where the market is providing an affordable housing explosion.  Unfortunately at these prices, these properties also become excellent investment opportunities for rentals, which creates competition with the prospective owner-occupant buyer.

These investors come in with cash offers and when presented with multiple offers where most terms are equal, many banks will take the speed and surety of the cash offer versus entrusting a successful sale to a buyer that needs financing to close.  In fact, cash can often mean double-digit percentage discounts on the list price vs. a financed offer.  These cash offers have succeeded so well in Minneapolis-North recently that while cash offers were only 5% of the transactions in 2005, they made up nearly 65% of the sales in 2009.

While many of these cash purchases may have been for owner-occupied purposes, it is impossible to quantify what percentage are investor vs. owner-occupant.  My experience and gut tell me that most of these cash sales were to investors.

Minneapolis-North is an exaggerated version of what we’re seeing all over the Twin Cities – I have heard stories of investor competition from agents around the metro and at price points up to around $250,000.  Metrowide, cash purchases in 2007 were only 5% of sales but zoomed 240% to 17% of sales two years later in 2009.  Having this strong demand has helped us dramatically reduce the inventory of foreclosures available today and has definitely provided support for the housing market, but this investor demand has also made it hard for many prospective buyers to take advantage of what may become an historic level housing affordability.

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